Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 37.614007 43.197922 49.223339 56.195691 64.028262 72.541893 82.482439
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 28.539634 36.442248 45.770440 57.529642 71.887583 88.773882 110.056171
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 21.202990 29.566401 40.192953 54.544183 73.256995 96.648887 127.894650
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 17.972037 26.935791 39.025901 56.276318 79.960664 110.997848 154.337702
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 15.988114 25.504238 39.013091 59.204887 88.148031 127.582278 184.680057
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 13.294953 22.545176 36.346302 57.917227 90.128755 135.651912 203.829541
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 10.862681 19.550128 33.149324 55.330473 89.758041 140.106566 217.908681
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 10.169161 19.206145 33.909696 58.720341 98.420794 158.055252 252.473991
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 9.880563 19.479524 35.640351 63.734336 109.896800 180.860213 295.587089
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 8.875060 18.336443 34.867148 64.539826 114.696734 193.715283 324.310083
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 7.866759 17.030751 33.640833 64.409624 117.875288 204.131301 349.743561
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 6.926878 15.708518 32.213041 63.743064 120.020674 212.918392 372.968036
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 6.179682 14.706631 31.343345 64.144441 124.307849 225.944508 404.665984
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 5.531149 13.818261 30.603197 64.747873 129.077366 240.238269 439.631764
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.549322 12.032178 27.863091 61.251161 126.116552 241.124986 452.110967
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.210116 11.638992 27.892399 63.130581 133.203123 259.876489 496.212419
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 4.018740 11.562328 28.570868 66.362928 143.077650 284.144606 551.250846
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 3.484563 10.543607 27.071739 64.936381 143.781390 291.840637 577.304454
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 2.926685 9.350483 25.011397 62.072901 141.345217 293.515646 592.491065
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 2.854307 9.448247 25.949976 65.824506 152.588751 321.483792 657.303009
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 2.884815 9.838937 27.628209 71.369109 167.912328 358.029824 739.790000
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 2.648552 9.419318 27.277281 72.259362 173.511962 376.096534 788.416586
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 2.384913 8.865883 26.517824 72.115466 176.869053 389.928474 829.635378